Cloud Application Infrastructure Technologies Need Seven Years to Mature
27. 07. 2009 
Gartner predicts that by 2012, the service-enabled application platforms market will become overcrowded with a broad range of solutions from large and small vendors, and competitive pressure will drive many weaker players from the market, resulting in acquisition activity. * By 2015, cloud computing will have been commoditised and will be the preferred solution for many application development projects
The cloud computing market is in a period of excitement, growth and high potential, but will still require several years and many changes in the market before cloud computing — or service-enabled application platforms (SEAPs) — is a mainstream IT effort, according to Gartner, Inc.
Gartner said that technologically aggressive application development organisations should look to cloud computing for tactical projects through 2011, during which time the market will begin to mature and be dominated by a select group of vendors. Following this period, Gartner predicts that the market will see a surge of new vendors and subsequent consolidation as cloud computing becomes appealing to more mainstream application development organizations. By 2015, cloud computing will have been commoditised and will be the preferred solution for many application development projects.
“SEAPs are the foundation on which software-as-a-service solutions are built,” said Mark Driver, research vice president at Gartner. “As SEAP technologies mature during the next several years, Gartner foresees three distinct, but slightly overlapping, phases of evolution. The first phase, through 2011, will be that of the pioneers and trailblazers; the second, running from 2010 through 2013, will be all about market consolidation; while the third phase, from 2012 through 2015, will see mainstream critical mass and commoditisation.”
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